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New poll puts Tinubu, Obi, Atiku in a locked race

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Atiku leads in the poll, followed by Tinubu and then Obi. The pollsters predict a runoff since no clear winner may emerge in the first ballot

By Ishaya Ibrahim, News Editor

Presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Atiku Abubakar has a slight lead in next year’s election, according to a field survey THISDAY Newspaper said it carried out.  

He is closely followed by Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the ruling party’s presidential candidate, the All Progressives Congress (APC).

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The Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi, comes third in the aggregate data provided by the newspaper in a report titled: 152 Days to 2023 Polls, Obi Set to Disrupt, Deadlock Presidential Run.”

According to the report, Peter Obi is likely to win the entire South-East with an average of 60 per cent, trending at 30 to 40 per cent in the South-South; 20 to 30 in the South-West; and 30 per cent in North-Central. But he is below five per cent in North-East and North-West. “This means that Obi is picking winning votes from Tinubu and Atiku, and, simultaneously, disrupting their calculations,” the report added.

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The report says Atiku Abubakar is at the moment trending at 20 to 25 per cent in the South-East; 40 to 50 per cent in the South-South; 20 to 30 per cent in the South-West; 30 to 40 per cent in North-West; and 40 to 50 per cent in the North-East. He is doing 30 per cent at the moment in North-central.

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The newspaper reported that the former Lagos State governor is trending at 50 to 60 per cent in his base, South-West; 10 to 15 per cent in South-South; five per cent in South-East; 30 to 40 per cent in North-Central; 40 per cent in North-West; and 30 to 40 per cent in the North-east.

                         Obi           Atiku            Tinubu  
 
South East                     60%         22.5%               5%
 
South South                  35%          45%                12.5%  
 
South West                    25%        25%                 55%
 
North Central               30%         30%                 35%
 
North West                   5%            35%                 40%
 
North East                    5%             45%                35%
 
Aggregate score         29%            37%                34%
Data crunching is done by TheNiche

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